Should You Buy a Home in Today's Market? (May
2007)
Before we start, let us give you one reason to not buy a
new home right now.
How long do you intend to live there?
A rule of thumb is that it rarely makes sense to buy if
you expect to move within two years. That's because when
you do sell, there are costs associated with selling. We're
not just talking about sales commissions to the buying and
selling real estate brokers. Most owners rely on home appreciation
to pay those costs and to provide the down payment and closing
costs when they buy their next home. So buying a home when
you expect to move before too long is a risk, especially
in an uncertain market.
However, most buyers live in their new home an average
of seven years or more. If that fits you, it almost always
makes sense to buy rather than rent, in practically any
market.
Why? First, if you are thinking about delaying a purchase
because you want to "time the market" to get the
very best deal, that is almost impossible to do with precision.
Even if you are in an area with declining market prices,
the most knowledgeable experts cannot reliably anticipate
the "bottom" of a real estate market. Afterwards,
they can look back and say, "The market began to turn
in 1997," like it did in some areas of California that
had a tough market in the nineties. Before the turn, though,
no one knows.
Second, if you aren't an owner, you're a renter. Renting
is just throwing money away. You don't get to reduce your
income taxes by itemizing deductions like property taxes
and mortgage interest.
As a renter, you are limited on what changes you can make
to your living quarters. As an owner, you can paint your
living room chartreuse if you want or put in an avocado
green carpet. You can change light fixtures, garden and
landscape. You can do whatever you want that makes your
home a comfortable place for you and your family. It's your
home, not a temporary place to sleep and eat until you do
buy a home.
Third, interest rates are very low right now. If you wait,
interest rates could be higher. That means your monthly
payment could be higher, too. No one can predict rates that
far in the future, of course, but rates are very low right
now.
Plus, the easiest way to accumulate wealth is through home
ownership. Three out of four people have more equity in
their home than assets in retirement plans, stocks, mutual
funds, and savings. Though no one can guarantee your property
will appreciate, over time it generally does. Over the long
term, you can generally count on it. In the last five years,
the median price of homes all across America has increased
in value approximately 10% per year. Usually, it's not quite
that high.
Admittedly, there are some areas that had more rapid appreciation
in recent years. Those markets may suffer from lower price-growth
than the rest of the nation or region over the next couple
of years.
How do you minimize the possibility of lower appreciation
for your home?
Determine your price range. Then choose a neighborhood
where your target price is in the lower tier of prices in
that neighborhood. That way, your home has less vulnerability
on the down side and the higher-priced homes will help pull
you up during hot markets.
Also, try to steer away from homes on busy streets or homes
that back to busy streets. Buy a house as close to the center
of the tract as possible. Don't buy houses across the street
from a park or a school. Try to buy in a homogeneous area,
where all the homes are similar to one another. For example,
if you are buying a single family home, you do not want
to buy next to an apartment or condominium complex.
Finally, talk to a real estate agent and ask for advice.
Ask them what the market is like in your area.
Best of all, there are LOTS of sellers out there right
now. Inventory is high. If you make an offer, ask for incentives
to buy that particular home.
If you are putting ten percent down or more, you can ask
for up to six percent of the purchase price in incentives.
These incentives cannot be rebates of cash or help with
down payment, but you can ask the seller to pay your closing
costs. You can also ask the seller to pay for a temporary
interest rate "buydown" that lowers your payment
over the first one to three years and still gets you the
security of a fixed rate mortgage -- and fixed rates are
very low right now.
If you're putting down five percent or less, you can still
ask for incentives. The amount you can ask for is limited
to three percent of the purchase price. The reason there
are limits is because you are going to finance the purchase
with a mortgage and lenders have guidelines on how much
sellers can provide in incentives. Those guidelines help
them limit loan fraud.
Talk to a real estate agent. Have that agent recommend
a lender who will talk to you about incentives and explain
what you can request.
Good luck.