Determining Your Offer Price
When you prepare an offer to purchase a home, you already
know the seller’s asking price. But what price are you going
to offer and how do you come up with that figure?
Determining your offer price is a three-step process.
First, you look at recent sales of similar properties to
come up with a price range. Then, you analyze additional
data, such as the condition of the home, improvements made
to the property, current market conditions, and the circumstances
of the seller. This will help you settle on a price you
think would be fair to pay for the home. Finally, depending
on your negotiating style, you adjust your "fair"
price and come up with what you want to put in your offer.
Comparable Sales
The first step in determining the price you are willing
to offer is to look at the recent sales of similar homes.
These are called "comparable sales." Comparable
sales are recent sales of homes that compare closely to
the one you are looking to purchase. Specifically, you want
to compare prices of homes that are similar in square footage,
number of bedrooms and bathrooms, garage space, lot size,
and type of construction.
If the home you are interested in is part of a tract of
homes, then you will most likely find some exact model matches
to compare against one another.
There are three main sources of information on comparable
sales, all of which are easily accessed by a real estate
agent. It is somewhat more difficult for the general public
to access this data, and in some cases impossible. Two of
the most obvious information sources are the public record
and the Multiple Listing Service.
Comparable Sales in the Public Record
The most accessible source of information on comparable
sales is the public record. When someone buys a home the
property is deeded from the seller to the buyer. In most
circumstances, this deed is recorded at the local county
recorder’s office. They combine sales data with information
already known about the property so they can assess property
taxes correctly.
Provided there have been no additions to the property,
the information available from the public record is usually
correct regarding sales price, square footage, and numbers
of rooms. This makes it easy to use the public record as
a source of data for comparable sale information.
Accessing the data is another matter, at least for the
general public. Realtors can generally look up this information
through title insurance companies. The title companies either
compile the data directly from the county recorder’s office
or purchase if from other companies.
One problem with the public record is that it tends to
run at least six to eight weeks behind. Add another four
to six weeks for the typical escrow period and you can see
the data is not current. The most current information is
the most valuable.
Comparable Sales in the Multiple Listing Service
Most of the public is aware that the Multiple Listing Service
is a private resource where Realtors list properties available
for sale. Recently, the public has been able to access some
of that information on such sites as Realtor.com, MSN HomeAdvisor,
and others.
Once a property is sold and the transaction has closed,
the selling price is posted to the listing in the Multiple
Listing Service. Over time, it has become a huge database
on past sales, containing much more information on individual
homes than can be gleaned from the public record. This information
is only available to real estate agents who are members
of the local Multiple Listing Service.
Your agent will provide you with this data to help determine
your offer price.
Comparable Sales – Pending Transactions
The most valuable information would be the most current,
of course. A sale last week has more validity in helping
you determine a purchase price than a sale from six months
ago. The problem is that there is no actual record of the
sales price until the transaction is completed. The information
is not available in the public record because no deed has
yet been recorded.
Neither is the information available in the Multiple Listing
Service. Once a property is sold, it becomes a "pending
sale" and all pricing information is removed from the
listing. Prices are not posted until it becomes a "closed
sale." This protects the seller in case the transaction
falls apart and the property is placed back on the market.
It would give an unfair advantage to future potential buyers
if they already knew what price the seller had been willing
to accept in the past.
However, if a Realtor has a reason to know the sales price,
they can usually find out through professional courtesy.
Also, some real estate brokerages post sales information
on a transaction board in their office.
Conclusions
Gathering and analyzing information from comparable sales
helps to establish the range of prices you should consider
when making an offer to buy a home. More weight should be
given to the most recent sales, but even so, you need to
do a bit more analysis before setting upon the price you
will offer. That is because you also need to consider the
condition of the property, improvements, the current market,
and the circumstances behind the seller’s decision to sell.
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